Ideas from 'Truth and Probability' by Frank P. Ramsey [1926], by Theme Structure
[found in 'Philosophical Papers' by Ramsey,Frank (ed/tr Mellor,D.H.) [CUP 1990,0-521-37621-1]].
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unexpand these ideas
10. Modality / B. Possibility / 8. Conditionals / d. Non-truthfunction conditionals
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13766
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'If' is the same as 'given that', so the degrees of belief should conform to probability theory
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Full Idea:
Ramsey suggested that 'if', 'given that' and 'on the supposition that' come to the same thing, and that the degrees of belief in the antecedent should then conform to probability theory.
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From:
report of Frank P. Ramsey (Truth and Probability [1926]) by Frank P. Ramsey - Law and Causality B
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A reaction:
[compressed]
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14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem
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19143
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Ramsey gave axioms for an uncertain agent to decide their preferences
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Full Idea:
Ramsey gave an axiomatic treatment of preference in the face of uncertainty, when applied to a particular agent.
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From:
report of Frank P. Ramsey (Truth and Probability [1926]) by Donald Davidson - Truth and Predication 2
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A reaction:
This is evidently the beginnings of Bayesian decision theory.
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