Combining Texts

All the ideas for 'fragments/reports', 'Introduction to Philosophical Papers I' and 'Bayesianism'

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5 ideas

1. Philosophy / E. Nature of Metaphysics / 3. Metaphysical Systems

21461

I tried to be unsystematic and piecemeal, but failed; my papers presuppose my other views [Lewis]

14. Science / C. Induction / 6. Bayes's Theorem

2799	Bayes' theorem explains why very surprising predictions have a higher value as evidence [Horwich]

2798	Probability of H, given evidence E, is prob(H) x prob(E given H) / prob(E) [Horwich]

26. Natural Theory / A. Speculations on Nature / 5. Infinite in Nature

1748	Archelaus was the first person to say that the universe is boundless [Archelaus, by Diog. Laertius]

27. Natural Reality / G. Biology / 3. Evolution

5989	Archelaus said life began in a primeval slime [Archelaus, by Schofield]